OSINT investigationLosses and failures

“The Price of Millimeters”: The Staggering Casualty Toll of the Russian Armed Forces on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk Axes

Drawing upon ISW assessments, Mediazona confirmed death registries, and satellite radar telemetry — quantifying the unprecedented personnel and equipment cost paid by Russian forces for marginal territorial gains in the Donbas.

Отдел расследований OSINTSeptember 25, 202417 min read

#Потери #ISW

+6 more

#Покровское направление #Торецкое направление #51-я армия #3-я армия #Мясные штурмы #Донецкая область

Cover of the investigation: “The Price of Millimeters”: The Staggering Casualty Toll of the Russian Armed Forces on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk Axes — CoverOriginal illustration for this material

Contents2 sections

The Highest Casualty Rates of the Entire War
Tactical Gains Measured in Hundreds of Meters

The Highest Casualty Rates of the Entire War

Offensive campaigns along the Pokrovsk and Toretsk operational directions throughout 2024 generated historically unprecedented casualty rates for the Russian Armed Forces, averaging between 1,200 and 1,500 daily casualties.

Tactical Gains Measured in Hundreds of Meters

Satellite imagery analysis and verified battlefield geolocations demonstrate that tactical advances of less than 200 meters frequently cost Russian command an entire mechanized company or multiple dismounted assault platoons.

Verifiability

Sources and methodology

ISW: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 14, 2026 (Потери на квадратный километр в Донецкой области)Institute for the Study of War (ISW) · 2026-07-14
ISW: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 4, 2026 (Оценка истощения и динамика продвижения)Institute for the Study of War (ISW) · 2026-07-04
ISW: Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, July 1, 2026 (Соотношение потерь и продвижения в Донецкой области)Institute for the Study of War (ISW) · 2026-07-01
24 Канал / NV: Потери и массовое дезертирство в подразделениях РФ под Покровском24 Канал / NV.ua · 2025-07-17

We separate established facts from assessments, versions and testimonies. Where a source relies on estimated data, this is noted in the text.

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The Highest Casualty Rates of the Entire War

Tactical Gains Measured in Hundreds of Meters

Sources and methodology

Know more about this episode, or have documents that would add to the investigation?

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